In recent weeks, international powers have been preparing for the event in which Syria’s government collapses. The United Nations in particular have laid out various plans that are to stabilize the nation when Bashar al-Assad’s falls. Aside from humanitarian efforts, the UN plans to incorporate peacekeeping methods.
However, how effective will these proposed peacekeeping plans be? Considering the political stability of Syria has the ability to change at any moment, the United Nations cannot react with such quickness due to their actions being operated through the UN Security Council. Also, Western forces are reluctant to place military forces in the region to keep the status quo.
International actors must make a decision sooner rather than later. On Monday, Ban Ki Moon, the UN Secretary General reported that a UN inspection team was deployed to Cyprus in order to inspect Syria on suspicion chemical weapons are being used. Currently, Syria’s government has rejected the request of the United Nations to step in. This could possibly be due to Syria’s impression of UN intervention in Iraq which fostered the eventual American invasion.
Personally, I believe that the conflict in Syria is still on going. If any intervention is to be made, it must must be done with correct timing; after the conflict has passed. If international powers enter when the conflict is still ongoing, there is a possibility that Syria’s conditions may worsen. Earlier in the course, we had discussed types of intervention. As of right now, the UN has positioned its plans towards diplomatic intervention, relying on representatives and ambassadors from various countries. There is a possibility that military intervention will occur if Assad’s regime falls. However, there is a moral hazard that the UN and other Western powers may face if Syria does call for intervention and that is encouraging false hope for other countries. Stabilizing the Assad collapse would encourage other Middle Eastern countries to call for aid in hopes that they too might be given aid. As of right now, I see no end or solution for the Syrian conflict.
“Deadly Car Bomb Rocks Central Damascus.” Al Jazeera 8 April 2013. 8 April 2013
“Preparing for the Day After Assad’s Fall.” Al Jazeera 7 April 2013. 8 April 2013.