Election Year and Sanctions in Iran:
Will it End With Political Violence?
The current political situation in Iran may shortly take a turn for the worse as elections are near and as the U.S continues to impose sanctions on Iran about its nuclear program. These sanctions are devastating its economy as Iran continues to provide shady information about its nuclear material. The UN’s nuclear watchdog agency blames Iran for the lack of cooperation. Yukiya Amano, the director of the International Atomic Energy Agency states that Iran is not cooperating to provide “credible assurance” that the country doesn’t possess nuclear material (Morgenstein). With delay from Iran addressing nuclear material, the agency has its doubts that all nuclear material is in peaceful activities (Morgenstein). The economic upheaval only contributes to political unrest.
Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, center
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is the current president of Iran in his second term and will leave office in June. While he will not be on the ballot, he hopes to remain a powerful influence within Iran. With such a complex political system, his remaining influence could cause political instability with the newly elected president. Also his infighting with the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has already caused tension within the government (Peterson). The possibility of violence isn’t out of the question; but the instance of a revolution seems farfetched.
We should consider these issues to be a big deal. Not only should we be concerned about the nuclear material in Iran but also we need to pay close attention to the elections this coming June. These elections could bring about political violence within the government, which has already seen apprehension. This is especially important, as Ahmadinejad wants to remain a powerful figure and is initiating a “noisy” exit (Peterson). The general public could also turn to violence, requesting more attention on their needs from the government.
The presence of the international community is playing a large role in Iran. The United States imposing sanctions has caused stress to the economy, which is adding to the political unrest, like I said before. The sanctions are not benefiting Iran and the United States increasing presence there is threatening to the general public. As the election in June is coming soon, policy-makers should keep a close eye on both the nuclear material and the political violence that could arise. Addressing the nuclear programs while also paying close attention to the upcoming election, policy-makers could possibly alleviate future instability.
Morgenstein, Mark. “Nuclear Watchdog Agency says Iran Not Cooperating.” CNN. CNN, 4 March 2013. Web. 5 March 2013.
Peterson, Scott. "As Iran’s Elections near, Ahmadinejad Refuses to leave Office Quietly" The Christian Science Monitor. The Christian Science Monitor, 5 Feb. 2013. Web. 5 March 2013.